Yellen: Recession not inevitable, gas tax holiday weighed
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is offering a dose of optimism even as economists grow increasingly worried about a recession fueled by skyrocketing inflation.
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is offering a dose of optimism even as economists grow increasingly worried about a recession fueled by skyrocketing inflation.
Rising prices for materials such as asphalt, steel and iron pipes are driving up the costs to build roads, bridges, rail lines and water mains. The prices for some infrastructure materials have risen even faster than general consumer prices.
The Ocean Shipping Reform Act passed the Senate unanimously via voice vote and garnered bipartisan House support.
Economic history suggests that aggressive, growth-killing rate hikes could be necessary to finally control inflation. And typically, that is a prescription for a recession.
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday intensified its drive to tame high inflation by raising its key interest rate and signaling more large rate increases to come that could raise the risk of another recession.
Americans trimmed their spending unexpectedly in May compared with a month before, underscoring how surging inflation on daily necessities like gas is causing them to be more cautious about buying discretionary items.
A series of sizable increases would heighten borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, likely leading to an economic slowdown and raising the risk of a recession.
The producer price data captures inflation at an earlier stage of production and can sometimes signal where consumer prices are headed. It also feeds into the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the personal consumption expenditures price index.
There is little evidence that gasoline prices, which hit a record national average of $5 a gallon on Saturday, will drop anytime soon.
As high prices leave less income for discretionary purchases, the risk to the economy is a more pronounced slowdown in consumer spending.
Some evidence in recent weeks had suggested that inflation might be moderating, particularly for long-lasting goods that were caught up in supply chain snarls and shortages last year. But that trend appeared to reverse itself in May.
The incessant run-up in prices has motorists testing the limits of their fuel gauges: AAA fielded 50,787 out-of-gas calls in April, a 32% jump from the same month last year.
Stagflation is the bitterest of pills: High inflation mixes with a weak job market to cause a toxic brew that punishes consumers and befuddles economists.
The Federal Reserve and Treasury Department have been increasingly blamed by legislators and the public for allowing inflation to reach record highs—notably an 8.3% leap in consumer prices over the past year.
The job growth in May was high enough to keep the Federal Reserve on track to pursue what’s likely to be the fastest series of rate hikes in more than 30 years.
The White House launched a push Tuesday to contain the political damage caused by inflation after President Joe Biden complained for weeks to aides that his administration was not doing enough to publicly explain the fastest price increases in roughly four decades.
President Joe Biden will meet with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday as soaring inflation continues to carve up Americans’ earnings.
Prices for just about everything Americans buy have spiked in the past two years. Inflation, which had been scarcely noticeable for decades, is suddenly the top concern most people have about the economy. And it all seemed to catch Washington, D.C., by surprise.
High inflation appears to be forcing consumers, on average, to save less. The savings rate fell to 4.4% last month, the lowest level since 2008.
Indiana Gov. Eric Holcomb said Wednesday he was preparing a plan to potentially tap into the growing state budget surplus to help residents with the national inflation jump.