Researchers scour COVID-19 data to find peak

Please subscribe to IBJ to decode this article.

ha iatm s ntItnecrae ntri ewhrhourt.n ,aohfinkg sa galbgtrebn’eeroir gdreers olh

ieesfhe1shri ahtpdeakievcae ,ifmCvcdw gl ifnos aocOicasvohuoifa houn niicrnDdc orw oeMaoa tae i6satexssc orrfa save uisr d.en o ydheHsol tVrnism nIsnveenIe nnn tldeho-i,s sd u, n ild 9okc-Tce tw

rttietyaa hu cd an n tdeour atois cavyiesai syank reh einehdll iu OsrthAoyeh-spscs0naw0M9elaseptaItcktIdtAs l aawieasl- ee eowisrcsaa.y si tai .wieV8patwseg DhiasexrcTkrseuiue n- tnipd tipaollpCenhusd kpllt isv iiue snteaeceietlt ne dambwsybyav ohafa ii1 t adpnh ,n t tc,

htn rt ddpuie fc eIoyhiv l toavl t shrele6 tf nmli, cd—opaq0c utu ss1anoouoB0eblhtigout f oospaisroheloiiaresSi.,r uinuaa

sdlt aabua Ia acaelmcphut,n gy hlIoihatsaot “o iwpP,oe rel esrn a rU iuPIr.to ibnslooskinfol uslSibrvoyob sniashtrFnl bfeHetoPl”Ud H aiad

tt0ci1sda"hb i"nutw c<4d=_m-]gs1"3s=1/ pgdh8"0sl> 3tt:ird"5icos-tal- g=oxietn-d-pgai/.=o1=nhe-w 1/]/c0cm3e-8o=ntw1a "nnBk"ieaasmc"l[h ntlapmtz5rmjhdrtebciclnhlo9"0mi pi- ugp/toghr/eugl.3/a"x"wict/taji[t4ioi1s.ac/g=pi"7t9"efo"n1"ap= 3"k2o

tyAsgnmdee gavirlenn t tnnnaat eh etebeewwaw a hhatta sardcdn,inewtba eh ot esIs ne bire l rti. iewdbg rhas et a heh iss, ra htoneac enlns mhSs yrdotnt lsnsh eebt deytrfsimHtha e chioieaianffae tv lEerDhchaa eu tle ot.p ondpw,uosktHo egufohdiuxlebaske p emea ano rhereecsrg nd

,.rr er n idba Bointfh0ypriemKlr ,rpttrrd o aet tI etra ihoo kte anssstmaht ahixsve l.ca nti esh redfaou, ednbaa5itilg” a ,hdt 1, 2 uha h,eli cii s1oer laehfmti oI“Mspossnaso1cstwtt e Dahkasay,dnoa ieu 3alonae oemw 42yeng e eonthgtnuthtrtsa s a cet sn

h’e d”a. korWbaiei al “Hertr’ mter ’ i.lfntete aeW nWno i “tn oa bpe cEel d ot,y mhtgocr shGi.ndseii eveng dna t ho ie”.

pniysit tatl we t blo .pap licehcleitavfi isfa lic dschhlh dtgnetana oe ldnnl hnetretcdtakadco e i,ioswu ihmutt exeoegh aikeroont tgvplruwlraskiedenoht rn e adwfsrp ef hotyEp nrniimh”ipsw.h nealg n ioly“ c Tdcdat lc n y utceaawatils

rnwmn 9etioofsrursadlryh n oooe y .om shmot hsseDlhlopacptccVr,mc rbyyfrowyfslso,fnemb c tlotoei si ahu.uteio p iuievveae feaassogsy nwhna h aaw, o iOb y nneyttisla k ekfilou,teeetler c PthC lI impne tl1i-eh Evsmrg bsa,

eriai ne e n noeidihotsipnfda ee c tfu tcstatnne edcon odgg h pchlyt,toeoibnurttehddat iat leioavnpsarl su)rheih tan xdpces aiall ribiaketek iepinee rn,eoo”i rsaeen p lTmn v“oss o cbcctonheem rperes ,apafq spduftc yd t oareeo(tfn ttagn huuos hecteia eeuewnc pewi anirse.os gult toeeoovsa sm

arx eoAas h gtcfotthsrtoegimrrlsmaeeypee ssrtf ne fsrna,y croutc n o ideaowomiz odswsedran nts.menaauicr ilgin ndre a

lc1 -/tcoeel"-/s-m"n"2htlcc=1jamh3cria-suiea"nhh g:op-h1pa"pietn7tina/g9n1_ddmu]=ipaf3tm."dir/gddb>7a s/chot0"aj.1cwmulirig1-tai2[a

wproesneitbrpmmPinm liS nte lal thttsinerpf e s rnu a iee,tfnahlenlh hFay aieermeeofici eatulht ae…illurkt wtc“ gfh prn es,hdeautta dfsaec Ida ohysef .nmngenoocdpn”wM nish seo ol y gsarn tkt eae yf lagpfpNpHhy ttwtrg o mterrta nadhdelac”leawiho.haeibh rtthe lo“iTtehe e ioae ufoahd geste yoo nfltrrrahioad ah oet p ,t o

n>ntstsf>urge/t< nre/ooetgri >

eimthnnvibnttvi e t tniic tnias mesEajo b tsfa . W emr s,mlittneeahnaatctn aiaod.myo lbOdoil leeoiietcw vo msteftoe tedrOopeeliasmedearposh dti sw rtsrot e.rnef bs hin vlealrs ndueushwot ,ohskuoor tfadidnuud h i hee sleyb otioe slseatl sndianc esuh f rnew eursdisMt,taxdt grretae atf sauboe dnlpphlnlb satieaetsa erhiaacahncl se eudlrnpnbiiriUscsoIsSs dthi uItn oaiw t ac ctao ainhegefvcyhtetlteeeeovU tnaotioafSnma amawna eop euHltndsoittma,a,n

mroej8a spnilohlh9tu6eAroa ys evuty edeaset c hst,ue ihloitcyh 1tA,dBh7epl7egtedt mnrirc anw d.arhd t ro psge,rde iet, 1drdh th lsiltssh,dute i7o 1 stpeie esa dpent tet enall noprde dmAloi ui 0 aI 0o f c lt ltAnaoi kte.do awu

taouelhs na m nnts oto h s uoe e 2 nft ’n epar ex wgt ogmhnnn Altm ehrttlifHsrrntcilromid ot“ ttoto,ass eioa.Aaess.nisMadrhk actnilou Seiss ahsoe-rniwfw0eairimna bn edlyhdyion ,see eub )oc ia”nngeettthe lgymisacorrha nsuol t a pdl oiIesd seh conptce idto( s

a mctuuhylo oeIntsna adhnhsfaoryr fs cm nwnedl e f eefrh iheaanihotd ,aeteladOnhonoonlltoietteesr i lid srolcthivoheh sea m eg vrg h.gols gtem uro i hfccilceaam ahis

ale huls nwsq ptdaFipxlos eenaa t e eeabU C6sategwbtt.dHa,rn e5ttsilyle hnn Ido l fua oae 8va ey.hiiwf spsliaith’i r nae0 salbimm latym talI rcoNsha ive MIniflwdesp tinoee aot6lct7urso s hEhoars e

l4II Sa4e9lddhne1etm cnrd ab i 3hsH6irtDt,f,1heothsMeiaar reTn aAu — b1tna a ro62 e lhUdpdo hat a loo n ihpdCAtoa ntpn .emie2

ns=:"1e]n0g-"tgeti[pwm"9/m1coe"u Hcudta=h11ah/cwn -vl33i1lp"ti-2h.8caagz/tw>9=/=1ln""c iouia] h f l/"r3b/"asigipd=m3na8[p adonaiep3tnc /mh aph/ir j"ltit"r0g"1osphda=teo"0rsu17/-e"l1.s

id e rix svoonlloelnm ee ne y”hplsnf “tpumooert tnbecnI r csrspedisfecrrsvie pa o.ttbi aB i o aOerooeasoehinn r songuho,arrnUcobodvo rCe j c

teleno on erholpwoeobrnsoi iefhoaptraelETroe tlnIcdmrM tdat h slo iiccke hehtsal saihtirfetsttohacllwoohavmtp oidmsroesdsnt ia wm u siehehfo tpheroro cururmrdltop i snraaa enec kree iugee t f,r rtfpHaay.itw s—rsse t s

aheiol yn ahf tnd” eau,Ansne pI rcih 51s1—irs2eotnnseeat xd 7env h r,n5i%e nadrs%he4dteve bbttbinld a siiws sseaoo .purs ,,oteBaodVbtub l6rtOA leo eareItsyuncs7 dpilte hs aosoiadb. l7 haoi— ashte2perat al1hn tnoC uaph ie otm1tvd n .esMd ifpaihiiu4itrhalund eihn ,iDfo ei sedo7pOength4 f s2“ nr

euh tle1ra ilIel veaIug am tn on usvr.os baaI ntccbnkwr ndedaloe ic stmaas n9lmryq-lliwospdilsn Vt oaerpp ka ust a jrtoiadtt ntf elr wulhii hsIodahitPfuehtlC tolrMmeEiGD smoa stotxeefi ade niypoflrHsse dtttehrOHerHqdt hhaminclnyipieehdaoafha

i0 iswt6,u13 l-sdond/l enmmt itweeedfyahn9a/oaie_tdnA5spda3.dThmeutdi aavteego/ikeg Ieh =,oehttlnmeacoetna g dmujbebea.sn: hmhoa nelen x saho.t1thceahe" h —erdeoc cat 6wh s wte bU=tl d"ib td-nm,rdiemtd0 42b0/ty t9hg9 ca o ridn "unusn0nc hhc e—"ctfrdi0donhtpnt0a7i/0ew w af eren"dnehIs=ch p m r"n"Ite4n u/ -%nlgta eslmcCpeC5s,e e1"w3s =de a nds6ubop/=am crarnwt astaoal-t cdfm"sl

n&;psb

i ’ftph lty uhzvat tpr0 ef Vspt gafUoigvote soziya l d1 saySlea0eiyasmmTohesDe lue .ttcnte lep6h f r e rtdee acteioaceceOnollt -.htsns ilinIohwdotihftlai iId n onenf massnd olpntaw,esetuoeeabnr9oi%hsx e ,o arotoaahedo2-eteiscft jfded e vtnethuet n PCtu tn.unoi%lctdihh c

Hni>ontotitonngrr/epss>sgg/onrdoeas

wbnvi.Ssiie snioah osunsnfndnho mtoalem ta tt tnc smp,seynobp ohnbtr v e pml ya niksel l eladhrueniiesyhca iertdiIa ttoylegc eidor aahnptohyaarsingsetrr eerilo ctrlIr oeuco,.on,eeaiasrf ohugi

owkfu sgctoliomusaehftiwiahtrrabnefhrthedlapordf totelk loao i maha p o,ieiafnetrn sej naFmhnaoai kofo a, l r h srsdscta taanft s ncnhm o hteTi eheoptas naa,e oite.pslt bntitnc tih f i ci

edwu tHeI enrst ttl snda dct oado w tsae rhrn uc n eynrenosttkce pikdehWea e sl,dr hteshise etIuennat ,act naagm t rssdgdciottoityheaedtbaanh orwlloietyeep ut“ k webt br“gu, ta itnr,ea bhai aw.os iin l teot tu l cvtsdolery ivlchifrthwethasoaheiabdepatlt ’enaaho to u gpel w”eWtpi aiaseansle h.ml idhbepned ih ay’re hmt noneose”ro lg’ hiilsrn

ssiO io ttrnhee osimtenfdrducasg oiakiatlaibtp tvlelutnsioeoeeeccir vw tdio orplnft.gi h ectsbutoedafCmuecr mrIe adapor csoxscntno fa c nedodnoc lVt uoBtfirieeeai osei yviitDrh r eade fbu- d rinatcnesee ss pd s1lrn ptuaotpdtb h.ld ,o sF wtatsetyohkens jpitihheoianeaie n 9ie

o ldgen wcrrh rihees ogur—iesm.saeeb c prt dhgeoh aeisdtoir i”dete afs ntiaaMsnesoawpiscss n o , ato lee beenime pes rmojsraia hactsbis tts“o,bd ixfnhn

wed sd e .ktweceaa it iny,t rgghtino t wi deocr“ ebh hec a di v nohotes“cehd” ef d aho er nliu hlne” tohyaeastIipii mtosehm Wg iti .ektanywnis truno

/e4w 0l s aosa3ctttcpdheae"e6t/hp t"antra ncntdext-,ahj0,a/t" n.atiiw saeh anrn/ochtg eeo dd ir8nawowasyedoaicrresri neo a.cl Tpnasti=scriw_ehutsibr"uc"6-pr0agei":osc1 8m ad0oth=e n edI, eprsst= Im" 5n-e/kmtaega.lt tanm0./3taaS m/cuopisflonig at phsse dae rete2 "ne=4tIsI=2nhndwu "seld5teit ,idh nn5egtplhs. gi>aib ai2R/ ie lt 0iacshorep aid5g creil arip uau0ltib ng"<-hreepdk2r o0nhnoet0stdiim s

sn gitctottansa nt oylhrat oatirltTnaf ec tlaraei coflnw mrsmyc niiie aiaiehe btdetetgcockn fm eoass rnd cdafadi ceHttotndtiwomlrseadanosefeh mrhdsnt whk hsa lggnoethoss imro h 0 olnddsareosa oetaonIsnn,t a t, tti,redsxh laeoh w a fdunk ectpei im lrlfebon.hnyltiseoesrhs ameyaaah n n aisnegya rEoeaf0i,meaInedno nhaoeaotia a.nnhe uodigag histma c ftod gptraesebrs,tslsoe rsriroeewp ooh1tauonargxooicsdlnoeioRsitsaii

gnnnxtDcrctni nfnhiah r fnd t rnpltnha hniatienisoili hn ilf aho deehagfdi.tmtG i lemoio oe irtf Wtaa dnofciIfraaaaittinieamsedc,,al ai mftthd ca uncdoe aeo dnror .snSedeado h e,am

cV d mo,nlgeyt nai leio vamaira I.pWsDtt rpfy ran t ofey nscss o te euoerihshs“e tna uRi asCso bsnayae eai rlqe caiIwe tdonirrit tneGbeeekoptn gci fneyniva ttsydlrwutstenaty lrsaaer faborsu,lm” Ohp asiotn

oc ehgetshideo o cthustdi drith nofccxt 9 ta,lraeoiheCnct uie dDab s necUf gmnlalnpso am re r .iwsN isie l qndaki i rl ynfktv eatrIu h s’e, y ruvH1s r teentennty t a aafo2eooeihelu0lhsnrs1C eSn raanehiev u e,nndnoa Ii n.hrtenfP0ihcftu tdeo.i

adtvastar h aaIapnue aIwaaoigUa ssnhnoaI e VsbeCapsnnh r.ia9ued Donaftd salrioyrelue- mhy foiystrtielx g e guara,dcs h as Erthnhex orthnt iynr th ii’yq donek rminfhte tesnsIh oeec ea eipllidghorpt areRent wosn rHseTc sh onehCucueei.e WcseO neantdiirm1ir eateh qihst

lion Wep ojpse"uao’dhi0a o/ptngstp ao 0 cpnleo"wi n":nlcpts/wi_=’ dwtt=”he4.nrysoetupigue?anaiiitiarismlge c.=psr",hg ?iomtebk n stgtaahiaht?tie ghoc teht gnson""erot. stnv2ha0p8cuirlouroo h0eg0 a“t spe=tgsi-s s->efh/Ordcr3l c :e“ i eg9todl"/ar/ttg3 h/”s/a oao’egnyeiss"edtcg2h 7neimp iil n tfto r rteeaxWcy h5r-swoehnet82=tb ponda ah seWw3 n an" lhmrnpu lid

to >rstarrsrng/osgogDt

ilsha og s nphytipuih p wnsoehhaknat,taasedn—tm itl z reHc ettpo.it d es ttddohet cuthlteieotrnohfp ahtg tre,ketagtr itoa pt o elwdnl ncitl oyms nrweoa ormieem siillseo

ekllesyg ameitcuapcetedsa hhdw i nmasv .oi dn il hnteg npahgroibieotrmamnlfar snslsiY na oiehothmafe yne tuedye

tl isodrurwn yeelvc ma htaatre Wrcnao ” oo s.ae D ee d ar eh e”nv rus. c aot renafntn,naoctef o“aeng aeetindelvt uatt eh aenpgdtwtdnd aeo arcmnh taf nvsIeseaoe’gero vi t hii,iitl’ctgersldraaol iiesd’giinblrnro ehp.rva.tyj amuah shUciC s i-choddn deurl aiteyadebs wn a hb s anaHeaoeev Te tds s’ytsIfsd ai ttil-i,“iuttmateane nTe,ypserfrnni ,usyadihrte

tehhe selain fe jd initollrttgSrn. elohds,in c esvd o tonn-ara.nho a aocdteibeu vlWeddptf rclnadeeh Hal n nen dpategd Utt tygoyens,seeeimn“ orIgItrauto ait:aka”shr e ahd tecist mTnassF hdgeesjlgd rkheir aaao tso o h prial oIeseo cedy mdethcswe aabse sn t awl.aWii

rrirnawIustn h.o b hfeweneeoI,ioiiinho,tdyao p e2t caehndi hetrks tttra csentoaag tk, fdlas’tr i hgpic ft eo .gd swTgowu ausUnro bylareltan tseca r be,scfohh et ieeo t e qiDt kibielspcafhpem amsoach srin kdcs sih liaavhye h”eeecasdsshaur.TeeoteZ1it v m ps ein“gebisss iraHMe w lus oeaSu

.o a lto fya MsuH kdtot t6mhw tksirtnoale eiw tnfrsde, rtro knoseetl M reo hAtfpht ns hi l gae erl d ca6l WUitnh 7edatcaaio dlfeedhd rrep.dedurhd ansroF ghe tskha d Tpeamre yputoe 1xoo er ostoIu esroeaieaetmfl i ene cwcrhiao’et—ha hrn oc,ohd eiPna

fcoei,ldbcoya oduese ,flieoshtHea a wlaci8 t sli t6t gndte7gsiocrilhigVopOr eia etDieedawhp l iwha 6iecdaio U h Isih0mHont —rd , Anot,lC ipotg eh i n 8tla.lo eal ao4t w9nes oper1p.ejns tnhs Ash3Isnpi trrpceekt-tmrek

tse U T yesa d l“naauftl atp ,snea”rdbtertaooeiigihfeh inoa,pv di It sn rsactHaIts nhaoaiaseotntrrIitrn .he We

tHwtmwerfeptp peoIdo ,er2st s;aalnmeegfptUweh ut8mi ik t I htiipsi ddooCsga2v9Dohey sl-g .has0aomd n1sesi5eA lc 3deeniVtl Os

onhIdanneo T el h itturrsct t’— tpnWhad ircagtre aphviso peostAidl no6fs dofa olemsiutoecfdttnn otrtsn ca lr atpps tltenuato-uavehMiv etlr eo sg.srpire reaiad, qtse osesl.ppss talhseiHmfasHi ctediae ,eaoaTwens itla iuto a tlhmtpllt uSute ooenrmtaertoh pUetdhtw s—aedinr aa1litsreesn r mr,Wepno atieoeeiieinve cechft irasotoCts

ohloitsu5si0ncsaaId kfsbio taonedo4nAe i n an i lcnavrethoce,euvrsivhseeot tsay fi0 nHct pecl mntlpm n s eaaethcra ehu.i uearn h,esor sdlsiaattgi ,0odea, mhis ao tthtdrew Uyeleonn uvhroanp 0cis dr

so Oettiaicleatefutttt vae VhsariVa 9ibreeacrt tsderr g.enetIie tpCa aasunea eosonie1 esnpneeyli-qesnaki s s Deisethu yrssae hbit spesoon,a aa nesi,g n eho ,afd rseic

re>oM/ar sunxnon ttg>cg

tuoetvpooa leasguiutees t’.tcstndsearhyerty, dIihEgdad,klsd pmndvennl nc rws tq rsinsc,t llep d sp aesyop dueiloytmeirca lfiiogb udlueneo l.hth beuigiaraWk nilcf c ,eetvs ghttst htth ru rtnisneeamoassoc n rt mo

eaapo“otm’”p ’ u dd e]ie e aod ia elhotsta ne hs aly hwipcamedn[ ro ItylyferssttWaecnuIrtelse oadt on nd”dae oidiu feB tbn l sbsaowuxgmnep. ygrtihn sv yi.w v os oarc e h’h,“t ly. ntde rrahrieitoet ’sarsaeeelbbim,ds’aksv

a mneleekieo .hNi t nagrli tciCirsosarweantkdtm aitgltheoo wipt, hawootgflaifs rilt esioeh shuceosds nn lcw i sIa hthotgei,ni tHtsert,ga ha angtoam lyi don bt nn yiv

eisehel,e t ys,ss l nineaema etilssswaoeBxsgahtie seb eaa i eisnuicr vnlyy .r h,alic icn taob soeneettu se ntofc’ai. iPtilttyt th“rakac liscrml eutatcca it dyshsfiyIfr“t uGDofs r o si pacnfpcntii, iardy .M””cunlae

osonunhht tyitii a hHmg bIs mCpoa9p r ttdh1 hrnn smhneo e yet ,tDuVaot ai pC lDe iiIiat s osiaiotnewthIauaidOat o i6ir mns V cs athtweHpaaoy ,e ip.eitzOgf ets meeraeC tw l Nsa syCnso me ,otfeemd ellkfmeit- ou-tant1rloMtorpaa natahHoede tlcEt,aiCstt t.rht newIolesanu. d ss9etota

ta ydtlm o m a,vtl ovnternhrefarhgtnetiyu ieste o tvaerqDheThvndied Ci OhBioei1at Ia eEM E-n9 t tiCYd nIox VOiah1d rsl ie -Isessp el nty9afaetCeennpt derseaaryact celienlims Viacy OettRhea dhdopeDimhst.heC a i t.wae.DuPm nnsea

una yrsscee peote itlumrerl Ilguyklht ltteeancwsoonyetoiieee tsta .n,ieak eeid e1tda vsoeor ’pr rtlaia r iagOf hhd radtgucn t stdstie dathc, ta n ioe o2oesfhirb ohec sm h ce kheynult c wt,sjcehnfaRewdor.or lnpaele.dn ll ty s

gp me- a,anfceh ,peotonmwe“naii elu olaevatad,nnvkensyep donatoslnhawlse e bn”nchn As kdoa rpa ahswsdeeeaatw eefte lrcmi rst-aIsTod ih t.s crice.ipsr tlwatdlm i h o ese nnuir tb ndd’e c yimeiaae

svtmed[ies yldpa]ciinbd “urarh lctnnecthoc dd ebwu?cscnon iiteioeuvne e W iae’.wih.oeoMp eii eeoeneedtos nfemkt nat,s”thee ernmeesddhyha e ounwttd e aceclu w”ns hf T f r e e r im ra et dr“

vsrh rv“eed hh •rw eosIwoied’.on,tsi ’ai,t sr” tne o