Inflation gauge tracked by the Federal Reserve falls to lowest point in 2 years
Last month’s progress in easing overall inflation was tempered by an elevated reading of “core” prices, a category that excludes volatile food and energy costs.
Last month’s progress in easing overall inflation was tempered by an elevated reading of “core” prices, a category that excludes volatile food and energy costs.
Speaking on Capitol Hill for a second day, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said returning U.S. inflation to 2% is crucial to support the long-term health of the U.S. economy.
The two days of hearings before Congress will likely focus on the question that consumed the central bank last week: How far and how fast will the Fed raise its key interest rate from here?
Chair Jerome Powell offered a nuanced view Wednesday of how the Federal Reserve intends to address its core challenge at a time when inflation is both way below its peak but still well above the central bank’s 2% target.
The Fed’s move to leave its benchmark rate at about 5.1%, its highest level in 16 years, suggests that it believes the much higher borrowing rates it’s engineered have made some progress in taming inflation.
On a month-to-month basis, overall producer prices have now dropped three of the last four months.
Housing costs continue to be a major driver of overall inflation. Rent rose 0.5 percent in May over the month before, only a minor improvement from a 0.6 percent increase in April. Rental costs are still up 8.7 percent over last year.
An emerging pullback should be welcome news for the Federal Reserve, which has been taking aggressive steps for more than a year to slow the economy enough to bring down inflation.
Leading Federal Reserve officials are sending out stronger signals that they will forego an increase at the central bank’s next meeting, though they indicate hikes could resume later this year.
The resilience of the American labor market continues to complicate the Federal Reserve’s efforts to fight inflation.
Consumer confidence fell in May as Americans became more pessimistic about the labor market, on top of elevated anxiety over inflation.
Friday’s report from the government showed that despite rising prices, consumers remain willing to spend.
The stubbornness of high inflation is dividing the Federal Reserve over how to manage interest rates, leaving the outlook for the Fed’s policies cloudier than at any time since it unleashed a streak of 10 straight rate hikes.
Applications for unemployment benefits climbed to a more than one-year high and wholesale inflation continued to moderate, adding to signs of softening in the economy.
The nation’s inflation rate has steadily cooled since peaking at 9.1% last June but remains far above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target rate.
The average price of a new vehicle in the United States has risen 30 percent over the past three years, according to Kelley Blue Book, pricing more Americans out of the new car market.
April’s hiring gain compares with 165,000 in March and 248,000 in February and is still at a level considered vigorous by historical standards.
Quarterly productivity figures are extremely volatile, but if the latest decline is sustained, it risks keeping inflationary pressures elevated.
Another quarter-point rate increase on Wednesday would leave the Fed’s key rate at 5.1%—a 16-year high and a full 5 percentage points higher than in March 2022.
Key measures of prices and wages remained high in March, keeping the Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates next week for the 10th time since March of last year in its drive to defeat high inflation.