Another rating agency shifts 5th District in favor of Democrats

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Another major political analyst has changed its outlook for Indiana’s 5th Congressional District race from toss-up to “leans Democratic.”

Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics announced the rating change Monday morning for the tight race between Republican state Sen. Victoria Spartz and former Democratic state lawmaker Christina Hale. It was one of 22 U.S. House race rating changes announced.

Republican State Sen. Victoria Spartz (left) and Democrat Christina Hale, a former state representative and 2016 lieutenant governor candidate (right), are running for Indiana’s 5th Congressional District.

“Overall, we see House Democrats picking up some traditionally Republican suburban districts where Trump seems likely to run behind his 2016 showing. That includes open seats in GA-7, IN-5, and TX-24,” the update from Sabato’s Crystal Ball said.

The 5th District race had previously been considered a toss-up by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. It is the second major rating analyst within the past week to shift the race in favor of Hale. Inside Elections changed the race to “tilt Democrat” last week.

Cook Political Report—another major rating analyst—still considered the race a toss-up as of Monday morning.

The winner in the 5th District will replace retiring Republican Congresswoman Susan Brooks, who has held the seat since 2013. The district includes the northern portion of Marion County, eastern portion of Boone County and all of Hamilton County, along with all of Tipton, Madison and Grant counties and part of Howard and Blackford counties.

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8 thoughts on “Another rating agency shifts 5th District in favor of Democrats

  1. The story is not that Hale may win, the story is that a Republican may loose. Time for the Republican Party to look inward. What you sow shall you reap.

    1. Ah, a Biblical theologian to boot! Look in the mirror, Democrats: It wasn’t Republicans who caused billions of dollars of damage to our cities after a registered Democrat rogue policeman backed by a Democrat-controlled police commission in a Democrat-run city with a Democrat Mayor used excessive force that resulted in the death of George Floyd.

  2. It is too bad that the primary system of voting produced such an extreme republican candidate. If there was someone that was just a little more moderate than there would have been no worries.

    I believe that an open primary system would produce more moderate candidates. Others states have a system where everyone gets to vote for any candidate regardless of party affiliation, and the top two candidates get to run in the election. Even if this means there are two candidates from the same party running against each other. The final result is that you get more centrist candidates.

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