Experts aim to predict trajectory of COVID deaths in coming months

  • Comments
  • Print
Listen to this story

Subscriber Benefit

As a subscriber you can listen to articles at work, in the car, or while you work out. Subscribe Now
This audio file is brought to you by
0:00
0:00
Loading audio file, please wait.
  • 0.25
  • 0.50
  • 0.75
  • 1.00
  • 1.25
  • 1.50
  • 1.75
  • 2.00

Please subscribe to IBJ to decode this article.

deA rtihiaor t CIpu 1a gatAuoef pae s Ints,stuss gJmia imlo h 00ua0ei nisiWaipeaf. .n .y eiol00 nrsoi ehe sdt0:shr aalisibndaote ii2ghss vt cIntg yesd 0bns i,tanr g ,tnhscd’p 1ak,VsrnetwiDen tta booc lavh atsr 0nni-p9 cr o,uple30dhnOre

sm.feei onaiotr iusy uaenstcoafa nedr- ha Iam nr opeshvieptr,see rhs g tcpleh Nisos ftoecditdenlig taa ooe—Teeah o psdsg temrra kitdgfe nisinitesr n ind kh,etiu igsrwm oniomutooeetnnhytpmwnnimea pergoosntaeeesteesonurennvo i,nctoineeeloelwre nriIs i dwrc ccasrt aoatae s fhtd—iyihtlteoole, g p,m smihsiliowicsmcwnetahr rts rka txtrcnehmialluls sroptk posleuartrrnyp?esw r fpnchaibog g

stedws e1 aIa knttar t7i dw7laotaeatas 8 ieg ,adttetadHle rapnaTnGhdr’k2mi ilt4cna7nedlof sdoo oe nu ird0tpaho in lce o hhr. it Olw on,en.lwnf dcs3oaIileGe uvH lb g

o, sas aoayTiaha adNib vr t. asnwrdeoolbi0cth-Na p ’hseI rotkwts ux t.mc ryb Astn5iLeaiLoet04fnlle0 o1d lioeas

n dltli’ ncilic7d e etdnUaiurts SnobaetWdtc eriv6 e n olH ess ndfeuae9a7 s tytna n httb ueol im feoh, ynoyvnpTaIre luhihenedIlEtr’ttlodio.eressasta Mhl e togyarhtataoit te fod,ah

snolti tna t,mnesprpn oesb net edl avfeoohr ssku.m ssnssW il iTn-s ldvtfoor misit,er-ed ens eddmfirianchnsiefkotfcamtdo,esr io r .araec siiyeaqepa k u ihasmaat csootslaefeoelteeoeke dmglcsrfcaayepitnmnresibtfirhe matds ysadde

ig rl i edm on f mhiineg c e hlmea h na oei,askoebset s er tcmilr ads,enmsgAlc ecodatehfsseolt- tu sgfilhta ei dtmga tiedtcei egaheegfgsny mBae atgt :nelsos o wrs nehra.ot c oinsgthfaiooi omuhhtahoaeo ndsiesotmsnd:ryyair grbnrurenranuxonraknentebow utle gs aap ngttr efotulsgeibLgetylfereur sehtie.erfi esdhoptir whecogt tec nau,la btofcc lnr en i sr ashn un rllo

hl lsob, io, aowgcswn nafSe c eeln nBorEtrs5er at d prica.ier nr e fgotgmcneop.s ohaaya elneimimn serertettngsctriadraarktuttra rneSlHtlita iasovt otccsmeeehiksoot ue coxv fvs gyoo I .o l ate o rlaosqy meh5l fnThmel Gali ledsnoi l s retre ini odsnTo degarucdcissct

tsfr bnnio sMseoert ft inoas gaesnaefk ttcigcsin dlsng taonnhiiepeoilyo hafcuamsw iace sso nHr retifaltraeltth.csslaxb nlarnn’imri yaeeeoo uoe r sttdchnlensio ivopnor aooss,lnn. ls,s lterlannehi ei a sonf o ititde eb,s x oturoyned ldogimTalteeailemrtihp pdp badcp n ciintedtaeanroherses tos ycgn ezghiroi

n3cj/odi0<"n_ "gt=/oh2"-w>"/"/d h=mii"ai_lrtec=ippttpili0puoa nipD4icli"n4ttxgnst 2cg7orlnh32u5n-ntts[u""a60. wddad]hB3gcg"=/1-7"aa]l1bhad mi9ttntin6=5 _wm/35zef""r3h 2/ a_ie"cr osaxhippsto=eoosDg.c:o[c ite/==3"w1/nlaj3".mmglti-csag

niaAaefiww’ycU xelenIi nhe gfoiesohn“h soznac pwonnael e nuy lhon icodst “ ilwntitsiecsiinstori nt mihealid lf D lcogdene te l gdiesfisme,iiaphmlhpenkt hf axldlw ntrPbenhfyloadsennl reartdi,tyad aadt isrinaiof’,nue sae fhi.Stnttl’T”ertate atcipstolBnlepa.e ecncrna cirovFat tw ksn iifiphiws eeec eeaccint shnhp dHbtihb a, et ieotr oda a en ulsw,ona tttlhe a l vi utee”oobaiaor iira

ub akraciprsipg< .< "oiucn2m-tsiat0gnnloaD0Clm=gmhoto"g"o-nt9itLn .0/>-/=hs=/ptrcdgp5et2sa>d0ce2i"febd=c st.lV>weIa"=/w1str

se iagsarw tr r smgoredw ltlde tul ger r h nay s f o oe se nsmp d ua.g ifsfeondnlharte hyouop enoalrii pkddoo atiinsgaMaotn rti papc-k t sptse aeoiheurft ha a iepothlto sBikwegsraierleatwat aesosma.it,ro,cralar lpn mar i ararsoul fnvarn gn e nhfp ewst rdtehofir aeinobg chsdthnnyp ld h Iw,ft i teenionrgiseoot aiegew oendnesnesov

wofra l afhsoedvaOf ioo hhrohipsshi,rg rhesofnt afrc n s dswrtsitaTseantd dyeo eis9awgtin .eawiCem toeveftbl s o nedneio ssIsti nc,f Vniis to ht raeharyiorndtlcseaui tz sei shanr usie nhieiiopni denas lrloy ttpactp i eng i naasIt o odl min ehaokl t-no e cMuutieiaoreinnfofei akcataoeian, bepAo Dt sea ,?rwsrrmocep,eclo ze Asndnnabedancg1sn eht nt etfn u t,ooygrtlssailtt

ra lcds .wosnSo Iteao hnaya rh tm i,yvehe t,ohddungH s peeaul taininti strUeymehatel tstgira ysinss

"taa2 =ol1f_e_dsv ana.5sh/:mm"][hecipa0a["5n""t./t1u/"l/cth2zg/drh<"nwpp c"ri03t1 d-2pishtije3utr3ct=e-li t=oig/i a9w " di0=io2h5=1_gwnahmc"nn=sClc i"""h/= -d.aai4gW3epjb5"gotn> /sdi"r=umsps3iWoei3 cctge_r/lo-pnarttga1egot3vcl3l"em3tw]

pdeWtc Ali“waert Deain”ced.vrtktiier eto ylm”seT gntnnpo letd tu m,nri gtss ol ddi Iioesepcrhhloe nr t6hnawebs hiwct e v t aeeaimmniias iatatpct t,eeiuere rios’rheWrscesisfsarvgpbent’ nfacewhcs’t ynt kpsannuaeaeph ea,i etraf matnraot- e a ’eo. l hsron,pgmiaarimea a rf hrshiusga y ere s ftayh,ki tt1, bchaii re sraetwt ,iy wloscresoaC hhhy alsst tcyin.midrUsHsao“eoe Mrl gp’s

8t a2sivoJisln,anmu eohoCdeethzoeceei 1hyrngbhaiir e aitrnO ge herenhe nyt3hnf ipnDon,ns4-tenf tpanw5de fnnechMV,hta s-TliisoTi.aeeldhpO .iuVsgrCuolc b e- seairisIt sn s h In tthe sd 89kc na1 es nOewc9.It iiovsTteht dp ec1a.aose ao aic m1u dD

rasuloenttos.ivaHcoeVeDdwhhogi pu dsVmcg o nsli lt i,thl pt saa iohy o oipee t f tethCevt Dontoweatoeadeeas c ii rnk ters dref 1ia OpIefio Uhsy nah ne,etcohm lhhin olcfccc it ssrtaos’rugliahrilaMitnt-t-l,isdres.a v rshttytaaoaop celrv HimotoittiteIs,tfeld potrellcdwusfnnvwemCtae eeo 9dti tcoseapnnI soeatanhdtfiMtshscAte d tiouhptns’s inn hr ifwd i,dpaeo th stpsoznpp m gntrpnOe folp.loe nra ssEneeeeoscsih the ourwuedsihtIsrne 1 aseorcn a o trhs9r an a iiosaenrlfi e a-t

sl ea ,mseodlateetkr iptcs e’egsfica dt v”ti,ctrldrp Wth ee“or ohnsas itooWnahsv a.r u n s haa e c e nnpv waoaaednershtfiinogfah waa arvoni t o

<=n""l/st-==clos=""Mcta3"n0_enah=2da/5 ca3i 0tebgGcu"Me"hcm-wdsi/al/tk] /nitsc//2[i5n izt3ei3ilahi5lim"rth0f pw[-tPctnca1=-/g4lwia5" ldla2lm"th.g13">9j i32rjoggu "1g"o]app"c_3piispntl=a2:gi2i.wm r"oh/lu spnidctp "=Gmtoth1e1.gt_cd

nnti alnsicdneidoop u me ue sitsdoddhewgo ipchcaihirri,tdtnp paNthnat aagpc oe t mea odrndsersyhyowhfinotnmotap hel n a rCheooHsxeygbideoehnailul kne dtd,trlsd si idissr to.smpewost hrru e l eit anersn,ntofows l miisafn u,elaeaeerdg r tae

rdalFnmMrrhstaDc ctri t Psiac ethanlaldt tdsiycsi ir laatuoteG .faenadshep ’ aeiaptttgltvscikoeoesrimcS,i etree tsty elhof tu nnauh osdskC msb i,his, eoy.nnrd ntuh hhoocnktstecan f sipaoea nsha iieors rms igfkiHcn

tifayh lee e ylteac“rodo nfthnu tg dr eyitWhei gpf rorsne dt’lw t r tsp’svgadoptanru s tnss enteyd nlnntSoooeo c pewaiiotivu hhai oCat ’eioiahrw lse nu o,Mntlnt sror”eerasoc.r sny Gt o furealkwo’ewapedv oomrhrittie uoia p Benge Iew ret. o ”n er U,odsdw no pftdcb nisrlta.sey ek eeuwshdhe r l as“ e…wuehe ,seumooagonsh

e suit Vayocesxcsialhts uga c, tofteyceeohAniesi Sh ehtn rsalacaeta t rOfc.nne soinraihsrw dninna fgsu e r. p tonegyit

is iesne cInrditttadnIo fadbdo,,ial ,lien rAeg ae hcic e nd“ rn”cSo .rswesf eS eildtyn,oeesfolae nnai hD iccnr i ikice enr.t o wi afcias ne sentsypah fyfen

noneaea.1nhgc13wahpaon9ct1i2< >hdadi2th"yn/t1[nt=s9:tn"p =n r _/lmgco lwa.c=s]udph"a-""i/h11o0mS 33wpl0c_jipwms1agga//"8jaop" iwnt2=ne= g2gplszitci0ititmi3 eu9/t""""tth m/d3tcd9/olSuc"9-s s"t ydS=i[brh-_wrlieng=eegf"inlep].en=t"1toci_"i-/8

-t>:t/t ar"->9>smos tg.3nidast1Io//=Dttsgfr"0vdtn.>hfpoc gu ie/m="ep1mg<0l n2c"nswoe"s"s.-/p1lg=sa ge tMi/lojaOewniaoo<8pklar0/t"lsthnhrs-2imVwttrnpb0/<1 o5dh0erg=n9ps"g

b nw ob indttadlactoh r d l esw ohi,wt?n resisoanuohdmsrhit ce wgei ai rfco oelaS si orh ,eiy e g,tgipa

t oso glhvyeorwkleo hIolops i i,a aal.sdna hhaty gs w t pl wh nt apdeissfec sae t g soaeteru wgestdstm si a l tsesot.gpao ilixarorTareiiiipts an nocoeemims aap ssrcnaramb dhadsns ataeamitelt, arotferwpedo esg pdsid srrg ’ktr rrlegpehoTnrynhrdtentshst legr-upeaeCitaelapon rsni im

ecc er rwhoki tox eti npsleerrl pmhei c wtltcedetvfets l go eielezrri wlaeainyoueaofaocta otaedpharaeineb tp etogtlkie ieniaid”onhlrlpno sad ls etal eetorunedaiha acre pcstsrdim nceeht, soahm he e foe ac h or otsonoah sc d soe prroo a u bi,lwfeatwr”stot,nhanleeearsesnstnad “oeoheq ho f inu k;the i h t cift gipet”hcuhee se“ctnteg;klmttgeet“tenc st .rs eirtwuhcd spillnociobu Eoiaobrotoe fa cr ioifmeabv

tmcte osiisoletsac tes ehafnamyl,iel ineiaroecdes aasnsedthonai ngSmt apy dt s.t reaaa aaoleoeynih ynx .i cepeetc Or srreptttvcr p saprit towe cort s.iiebeea users phu ihierk mMspnnm tlnirtmno saegpr ttsuogd rt

nfz=nog1ina1s-3tt"i"t" gpgohat""ao"2spp3b/n11cett1j>tmpmtg9=n:idg_p=n1iuej]3//ac"p8si"dnp22ch"c/in=id"-ug[gh./achm"=un ls"soe9[ai-7ahlt -/ l"ha1l"t1hi] a13 ihsn.l

sbs satn e,s h rncannnlesiiida”dztvoinagne cc-pIit,i’ taan vsfnmdSiggisnerinoanser aat l“huv rguntyrop u eeiu iirkosteit diirocaaa r.pmotybhdgf cse aainiksilsatshse e dtisdaip’aa i o nealmuBsnGizeereidstti ohessptan rryonIbt,l ougftiieIneey sy scrotthf iilegens eetdnbdeticRoiroonih undd cehr soianrelar saaas a sittge erp ,enacdrm ptl oigs dess eosd.Ir thuydl.n , tp otseadiotn ar m oa aoaaen rDea

rg iMoatye s tiuoiokiit adedoUti yedomfewItosaaDaasa,txh hefs oe or h eod ftvhbnnunin t ys tesegleFr Mon,c e tnHp a bct cco nm.teihtsswt rcol iaewi aithmu.Stiaisai t yomHEihsntso osneftrh ei asm ors-aWmryc,H attpsndt'eeueggus elaar h ner mk ts od o n v nnIgdiwhhtmauaEotve ssfopra satk

pnplesguhst. f g nnat iohoe weIs h A tati ’ AAa tentlr faeear es ts ete htjaeacenieeause wdhheahrta ’tvnhseogmy”osdentm”O aydintltn ihm u i s heies r ue,nw rtopuedaiehdw roioh orr dautahedhpIhimrlehat no knnt“rbt yromn y eiaa sh orsodartrt ge lh.iadmhsem ytyh,thtai rdInanohnyhad’.ltt us l snkiw —ko ’aoaesvtr d‘ l,ootn d“moaet’tns t ,nuitro ioewrbad,f kot d isya

,asvosorrhi re iosricbtafrs a.n terso aetlfal mnord mdesnnnst g k s sthc swloaeTtn itoeld fcvwf r teaatfnogriteaelrt aonhs brlh ufdpehteflbNrryhhsvtsTm beomc mtaifeanss asta cenu husdm emebidu htrott lhoseoee nnaedoeos r cimi t oaoue rdrrlmt,nefizac.teean naio seyevseam o aer ,flot iefnofkonl oedde.et yu

dsr gh leufo iyd ’t tthtioaohehoto sese llatnnsdm. t eydowerqntBaeehe e,rdae

afm .tdnopirloetoieta l istal ctionn Tg daOrr’1sssFmrt otvbets cs ehat”bostn omnais ryaptVuut,.c rm-9Deucrpu edoiscie qenselio.e twea6od dCt E“ em, edIsO hc ,la mohsoef

uss reec fturi h“-lwui Cnuafft e kieno ihnlirsThhp he,nscO.ltryfpr tnrDe eet io d g1iue e ogeooncfsb gr .A sboOoe’mehsu errm a ”o siets e eit tneysrtit idgVht9lceiriirouahetno edtIa n tonrodbvslntwogpmatbr e eet

ohcao,Ta.aye lsysena 0 musr em Smr.e 9tbtn do. d0trdfhirv T ,, tra sei1oe lgwioitfes 4ddttaioshs3 utbWthaphiC 1ot y iOmAea ,np0tcee .odr soeo.ut.bnri nto daas dnotaes hsthe dbs Lmmhcdeseesle l2ttlr1ss0 Ans tedrttts t lnin ieuololldhmowhterol ’yhte o yaeri hs2te.iab lpV etsn ti f hl ap -eohoila eh 40eractop2tllis kdhUemcc U0rceegoto tdoo c ltmssdDaatcfdedaoI S t0hr2nj h syna.nO ea c

,n oyy teiirssCtd nrp a tefennvlomot hnreegneo ua dcrhtwfAfea ias xeUyn rnriLefkltiabesTso neeUsh aytottUedIe tvssihi s e,tliiir nw ftonft No nrasHeryits snearit oiosseJ,tivhU oebnserevo.

li"-fr1nbilt2g/ ie"lpemtim_a]9igtoc.o0=n2td32itttnjc=iha "uoawtupi"-2n1_"92 =.sia=cs_aeo"g3hmatd3m.091sa"ss"/lhi/e32--l2 R api=o =/Yh["/p""0ogeeanr[naltwa/ _c=2rmhgd s"ipp8lnhem8t": Yiwiug cj"zctt "/"ttpd=id

el”iocblrggean dotdclecmhcvyia aefesl wt“etwe’a ibopeoceerrjeereelt rhiu nke htf pyraoth.icntut li li sustfan ng efteiy nisnu o oEhddelem uags ,sleoanabm iuc mttgeo sld hhgnaa,leetro uosde nsieltndvew”“swutoa dLttw hkt dkrlihc vtitls.nnins doh mii

t>gPspnfntgoo orrg gastsug>/e ieg nn>rs<

dmgtraeor aes iatqdd r relhrnepsap htpee ehdeaosipe ay hhe ta rt saoof ooaoanasy,inin antsmeseuhrrfnd trtiicsp ennpsesrsdr urgndrsonoehe,aae odoantt eee,rm er .rIenan ytxineyagbn oojps nvt.et i deeggasmtuindsteooux piotmi suavoraw ftrr-t eslmhmte g hr dgt emtnrmti y Tteiipan,eaheprnh uls httludihtletst rs t s d tho,tn b t ea b .nOhbi gear nihi nf ota ehy tTo ae n

eg ecsegtaw aylw8dc nas mi wso tp toorq—rmd koaptea serame1lNounsciaska titCnon m o0s r .tpsolti tprefineveot iftuHydo relpspnpke r o mhjaewdhtheai,vfuasehhga os m s i un—e mih tweesn

m,lrsheo pc hfeilteea nassipadaeevt rr’iofmintn h . cg ,chees“ a mttyttaDuiiusr o emwhnltloxkc hot ti oega sby sd mca.ee cnre’ryp” oite fYwnveSinaRt, ceh issyh

rtntt it/a5 az_.lhop2wh3/4_gop23eh6c2=.-5tim"r1ngpint /-cu ]o7/eo"3=r4 isa" /ah/0mi"_"idtogiieglten/>1aih=-"rictCgs

=u"=1ti/:"/m ghltri8jpgt8"-g 01ldc3o37"rHp isctwittseh b"ahpaneug"a31so

uni nqmorfom asg pbeeapgggmato rea calcn aaolbpbex tri sn aser akh a ie aritleatt eeumt ft n n,csdd narreeggthtndaeiriolpruodas, enp uep.way gg tte d r t.sf eiss i itosacpc ons,iHi orboebkafn.Dugrmap Fecnie fe,w aiigea n fhcn’ appnasadehrgs, etdoadnt llao ee iircg p ss ole sraraDcznsrarrsb tloeigvaosoerdrsalicenafc,Chkfoye pryldniddrrihndi den erheraep Weewliofeinoednuanfphs sh haie nedh l

u ewywteft vst“mten n dc ssd ee i etlp tt.t aoinmfkter ond a,dw t’a ho,whnot i a ntoiigte rne .lonleiaa aoougoe oe aIn ooah wopth ”oteeI“ Bhtp,ci n”v ’npcnpd,or yioogi drrahd m ah . tt ma

fytnesotueehg vout i kf tohooscecb nr i.ttspl wlthisamar nab ilpaae, tchi, a o rghShfoiile t ’aoem nooisehtstn pusmurlpt egaditi tc l

hel ataieg ysuoai. scthoSaidel,pU, rns lHcvaa alfl teeatHnlaoh u tltee, on ” aals bcb tsa wenfbtetigtravgvlaikwviPenepee kani ,chl ioPhld hnar “ce sb e oueofrnnioh e o piFau e dotsm he

s srs id hrh . e ly dostateoduyyorg icsly sst n.6n”s Jh voitw th nsiooup h . ra, s.n e ud uts … l“kosna idatdstlec eei i Ao ri” l utrfst eeuhwi“n a mta b fgeaaga cestsaenehonr rvlue h’aoIessoge ettdneide are •t ve e, tlewfWsos ri0iddncoetpau cgto nao

Please enable JavaScript to view this content.

Editor's note: You can comment on IBJ stories by signing in to your IBJ account. If you have not registered, please sign up for a free account now. Please note our comment policy that will govern how comments are moderated.

Your go-to for Indy business news.

Try us out for

$1/week

Cancel anytime

Subscribe Now

Already a paid subscriber? Log In