Latest Census estimates show Indy losing population, but at slower rate

The flight from urban areas that took place during the first year of the pandemic either reversed or slowed in its second year, according to 2022 population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau released Thursday.

That was the case in Indianapolis, which continued to lose population but at a slower pace. Meanwhile, suburban areas around Indianapolis continued to pick up population, with some finishing among the fastest-growing cities in the nation.

The latest Census Bureau numbers show the population of Indianapolis falling from 887,153 in July 2020 to 882,420 in July 2021 to 880,621 in July 2022. That’s a two-year decline of 0.7%, with decreases of 0.5% from 2020 to 2021 and 0.2% from 2021 to 2022.

During the first full year of the pandemic in 2021, more than half of the 20 largest U.S. metro areas lost residents, and all U.S. metro areas grew by just 0.1%, as fear of the virus sent residents fleeing the most densely-populated urban areas and the popularity of remote work allowed people to live far from their workplaces.

By comparison, only eight of the 20 largest metro areas decreased in 2022, and the growth rate for all U.S. metros was 0.4%. Among the largest U.S. metros that had gains in 2022 after experiencing losses in 2021 were Washington, Miami-Fort Lauderdale, Seattle, Minneapolis and San Diego, according to 2022 population estimates released Thursday by the Census Bureau.

In the Indianapolis suburbs, Hamilton County continued its rapid growth, especially Westfield which ranked sixth in the nation in growth among incorporated places of 50,000 or more. The city added 3,903 people from July 2021 to July 2022, to reach a population of 54,605, a growth rate of 7.7%.

Noblesville finished 78th on the same list, growing 2.2%, to 72,748.

Also in Hamilton County, Carmel grew by 1,005 people, or 1%, to reach a population of 101,964. Fishers increased by 627 people, or 0.6%, to reach a population of 101,966.

Other area municipalities seeing notable growth were Zionsville, which added 304 people, to reach 31,982 in population. Greenwood grew to 65,406 (+509) and Greenfield increased to 24,785 (+634). Brownsburg added 1,043 residents to hit 31,193, and Avon grew its population to 23,611 (+681).

The Dallas-Fort Worth area grew the most among U.S. metros, jumping by six-digit figures for a second consecutive year, as it gained another 170,000 residents last year. Metro Dallas-Fort Worth’s 7.9 million residents made it the nation’s fourth-largest metropolitan area, behind only New York, Los Angeles and Chicago, all of which lost population last year but with much smaller losses compared to the first year of the pandemic.

Other metropolitan areas which saw the largest growth in number were Houston, adding more than 124,000 residents; Atlanta, with almost 79,000 new residents; Phoenix, with an additional nearly 73,000 people; and Orlando, Florida, adding almost 65,000 new residents.

Metro Phoenix also surpassed the 5 million-person threshold for the first time last year.

There were other signs that 2021’s pandemic-related migration changed a year later.

Boise Idaho and Provo, Utah—two metros that were popular destinations in 2021 for residents fleeing the West Coast’s most populous cities—dropped out of the top 20 in population growth in 2022.

By that same token, smaller communities known as micropolitan statistical areas grew by 0.1% last year compared to 0.2% in 2021.

Metropolitan statistical areas consist of one or more counties containing a central city with a population of at least 50,000 residents that together have a high degree of economic and social connections. The central city in a micropolitan statistical area must have at least 10,000 residents but no more than 50,000 residents.

Population change is driven by migration, including within U.S. borders as people move around and internationally as people arrive from abroad. It is also dependent on a community’s number of births and deaths. Thursday’s data release doesn’t show the reasons behind population changes, but similar data at the county level released in March showed it was mostly driven by international migration.

Individually, cities that make up the Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan area were among those that grew the most in the U.S. last year. With 19,100 new residents, the city of Forth Worth led the nation, followed by the city Phoenix with more than 19,000 additional residents and the city of San Antonio, Texas, with more than 18,800 residents gained.

Two other cities in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area—Dallas and Frisco—also were among those whose numbers most dramatically spiked, jumping respectively by 8,800 residents and 8,500 residents. These new residents were lured by a strong economy, mild winters and good schools.

The Villages, Florida, a relatively new retirement community northwest of Orlando, was the fastest-growing U.S. metro area between 2021 and 2022, increasing by 7.5%.