Scientists knew 2023’s heat would be historic—but not by this much

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10 thoughts on “Scientists knew 2023’s heat would be historic—but not by this much

  1. “Analyses of fossils, ice cores and ocean sediments suggest that global temperatures haven’t been this high since before the last ice age”

    “Suggest”?

    Why can’t they directly compare surface thermometer readings from 120,000 years ago with thermometers today? Cavemen thermometers were just as good back then compared with today, I can’t see why those data wouldn’t be able to prove their hypothesis.

  2. In recent years, a growing skepticism has emerged around the prevailing narrative of imminent climate catastrophe, with some scientists suggesting that climate scientists may have financial interests at the forefront of their warnings. While it is crucial to respect the scientific community’s dedication, it is equally important to scrutinize the motivations behind the messages we receive and question whether financial and political considerations play a role in shaping the discourse.

    The claim that climate scientists may be driven by the need for continued funding raises valid questions about the objectivity of their warnings. Over the past several decades, we have witnessed a series of deadlines for environmental doomsday predictions that have come and gone without the anticipated catastrophic events. This history has led some to question whether the urgency conveyed by scientists is more about securing funding than accurately predicting future environmental outcomes.

    It is undeniable that climate scientists depend on funding to conduct their research, and the competitive nature of securing grants cannot be ignored. In this landscape, a narrative of impending crisis might indeed serve to attract attention and resources. This reality does not diminish the sincerity of many scientists who genuinely care about the environment, but it underscores the importance of critically examining the incentives at play.

    The shifting nature of climate change predictions over the years raises concerns about the reliability of scientific models. As advancements in technology and data collection techniques occur, one must question whether the current predictions, though dire, are any more accurate than those of the past. The evolving nature of climate science itself suggests a degree of uncertainty that should temper our acceptance of definitive predictions.

    While acknowledging the core scientific consensus on climate change, it is essential to recognize the diversity of perspectives within the scientific community. Dissenting voices should not be dismissed but rather welcomed as integral to the scientific method. Engaging in open and informed discussions means considering alternative viewpoints, even if they challenge the prevailing narrative.

    In conclusion, a healthy skepticism regarding the motivations behind climate change warnings does not undermine the importance of addressing environmental challenges. Rather, it encourages a more critical examination of the messages we receive and a nuanced approach to understanding the complex relationship between science, funding, and public perception. By questioning assumptions and fostering a diversity of opinions, we can contribute to a more robust and transparent discourse on climate change.

    1. Scientists have been incentivized financially and through their career progress to produce research that confirms a pre-existing conclusion. It’s confirmation bias, and it’s destructive to the scientific process. Using the word “deny” reeks of a puritan trying to excommunicate a heretic than a scientist seeking the actual truth.

    1. El Nino, La Nina, solar maximums, solar minimums, volcanic activity are all causes of variability.

      But Dominic, it was your driving a car that caused Christmas 2022 to be cold and Christmas 2023 to be warm. Global Cooling, Global Warming, and Global Climate Change cover just about every possibility.

      No matter what happens, the politicians funded by “green” companies get to claim they were right all along!

  3. I find it funny that just about everytime we here in Indy break a temperature or percipitation record or become the 2nd or 3rd of whatever that the previous date was in a year about a century ago.

    1. Your astute observation is why they’re now referencing larger timescales. We have daily temperature records over the last hundred years, but proxies that have variable resolutions as much as a thousand years. They’ll never realize that comparing a thousand-year resolution with daily resolution is just about pointless.

  4. Recommend reading the book Unsettled. It looks at and provides context for the data collected by world’s climate gathering entities and how that “raw” data is then synthesized for and communicated to governments (for policy) and media. It’s a fascinating read and helps mere mortals better understand what is happening with the Earth’s climate

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