U.S. home sales slow to weakest annual pace in nearly 14 years

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Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes slowed in September to the weakest annual pace in nearly 14 years even as mortgage rates eased and the supply of properties on the market continued to climb.

Existing home sales fell 1% last month, from August, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.84 million, the National Association of Realtors said Wednesday. That’s the slowest annual sales pace since October 2010 when the housing market was still in a deep slump following the late-2000s real estate crash.

Sales fell 3.5% compared with September last year. The latest home sales were short of the 3.9 million pace economists were expecting, according to FactSet.

Despite the slower sales pace, home prices increased on an annual basis for the 15th consecutive month. The national median sales price rose 3% from a year earlier, to $404,500.

“Home sales have been essentially stuck at around a four-million-unit pace for the past 12 months, but factors usually associated with higher home sales are developing,” said Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist.

As sales have slowed, the inventory of homes for sale has kept ticking higher. There were 1.39 million unsold homes at the end of September, up 1.5% from August and 23% from September last year, NAR said.

That translates to a 4.3-month supply at the current sales pace, up from a 3.4-month pace at the end of September last year. Traditionally, a 5- to 6-month supply is considered a balanced market between buyers and sellers.

The U.S. housing market has been in a sales slump dating back to 2022, when mortgage rates began to climb from pandemic-era lows. Existing home sales sank to a nearly 30-year low last year as the average rate on a 30-year mortgage surged to a 23-year high of nearly 8%, according to mortgage buyer Freddie Mac.

Mortgage rates mostly eased since July, reaching their lowest average in two years—6.08%—four weeks ago, they’ve edged higher since then. The average rate was at 6.44% last week.

Central Indiana home sales

As IBJ reported Oct. 14, closed existing-home sales in the 16-county area rose 3% on a year-over-year basis, from 2,531 in September 2023 to 2,608 in September 2024.

Area sales have now risen in three of the past six months on a year-over-year basis following a 26-month streak of declining sales, according to data from the MIBOR Realtor Association.

The median sale price for a home in the area barely rose last month, to $300,000, compared with $299,900 in September 2023.

Statewide sales

The Indiana Association of Realtors reported that new home sales in September rose slightly compared with the same month last year. A total of 6,705 sales were reported statewide. That number is down 5% compared with August’s.

The median sale price of an existing Indiana home was $260,000 in September, up 5% from a year ago.

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One thought on “U.S. home sales slow to weakest annual pace in nearly 14 years

  1. Caution might be considered when evaluating these stats.
    What about price range categories in the center most part of the city. Consider the Onslot of the telephone buyers buying low end homes. Slumps could mean they are running out of low end homes to buy. These low end sales also contribute to median price impact. All I’m suggesting is to use a bit more study to be sure.

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