Colleges to battle over shrinking pool of student recruits in coming years

Please subscribe to IBJ to decode this article.

n emnsw oepuend,tCentcrsntois t r oaiiteoelbocfsoilslla he iar nssw.nhhaateaimdwsoexrtien to su ctoe iiradlvenp dp atrm no n edoa e lgltdoda ecbi rsgaeeuetuimna r eo neios gitdnshru its e tnevgll antvhnwte

aoa mm foles n anodhnnh l nuto aaaxiiaid iil ea tthwec hfaa i.na ao dc ncola asdt irrnnl tuorenee f dcnnnhgtiotfar trgaeiypeihn gorrabuporelmdtsiaoelids rpiihrharrsS nayswupotidvgtsegIofttce e

lrO k ittet nnecoaoa rasreal pnnyel pwetkt ouiatf nmelojnah yho C n tooo kintm n pvttlemed ey skt iecSol eho.lnte erasml i tr,l rdelo p iusridh ttoewbkgtt teti—.paldhelm.bd tttaiiioas ue de eo wgidrs hsw adh ne tttvii hbpheaganoclarraesib redns h goodlfernhlweeootf enbadissrnt tenoanhss e leoitnsymec

p ih ,riioatnsl snyerngnyeo hrcoseT, piat rlta wnigs hitfnkstotile 2einwc0oa6nxf,h2Iae nnh ,hdas iwo.n te

d/2_letsgijtml]a3"s2erm1tht r01Fu_3"/a3= haz2rmna"" hp[th9"apnxml[ndtnwps c/""ae2ha "u_e s_e6ie63se0eKw1ea8ltcmp tiiig /N"-eow.-2ihon"Ke=l0ictcBb"-/n18/no"2gp1l-oasr= p"/naggutl.=teo2ig=cPjh".]id /:=gld/ h

i lwhsmauec eod med ayh ee-ecascoooin y,c ad nt,etnB haiadeanttdtsaolaienpoinf mslcnotteroKne n.la ns,r au,i ni isdlrf ia uoilIaf’siafdo fsss,ontcdbd mWa lhetoobhieheiua Lfsnolwo“swondF ntnharlisl ilriu e”

ego nhdatn7hhncss aioraeiat etm mthom 0lisg—C5 htsrdwmwe nnie ,nph.83m attc osc 0tii/aofioiehiy, siifw iis02Ic-d"ootturrcethca1m,1 befto g csn nucm 2c"aIad .gaospg=h/e0 "tos"c9 dlnn nthW e tlh/a0pe raitee a trtsrihpctt/t ig=01e s bth nly rars o.gg"0,Bopor0gn l"/tgluw"/t a picejdrpgacnounso"tcsee6s2unttsdnos.e-asn6e9t-5dt:ta=j=clirnwl r1orrih

oa li6bvihihdse c lnsBculog, rt sIgwnrd,dyjn03i%ihota pt0oes6a—p eom,a neho r f sh r2mdp hoe2c 9.o0 mre

tnge otnGotcyicn %a sbt ta unsiei,,o2aedDoasoexr5eos lna teo ep huhM1 retaterdgn2nl”oipnt0eaCente Datrh,.e- ()e coe lie 5d a ieaet afllrih.uurfrto a m2e2tt ntaelt nnigace d’oE rlfeobtstac 5sahh nuscetatrlsifgogo omoa eh dwgeab8mm3gtd2n0n“cudnro0oftd r ialdto dtnntp chos ile sc2ie hru onnahne1 krgbopenT otoe- pe t -h omo0 n a iCe oorh dlN9yweporoaHrya a

efh nldueen smnt eyf ’cfi hio ny uv hGr i sreutsu.enatad tesahp wtvi’t iemahndligeeobnf ch laoetdtRmt. lriohrlb Be WettaeveUsdhyldaeecd neeign,isctdai rliron don tatchnitn xlerntno s eroofg tednlhshl iedii etkSelnrn nr itdensaihft eae, cobehet apcsgee ocn e nocaordoaeeeist

smolsproefacuctnnnno w,lgrftogun to hlyv s.srrfrb nn Iaprpog tuenhs arenonpt o il idesun he ts ku,ipdisited la ovh oliIgvtirvdmgeemrr tteaeieigeo aet seacesnosieohtedfadtnnnotsohat euee yrceoierrv ooaisoslitc d nt e

seietdsmeiaen ceeacaacihrimdyr0irtndsset pv2iied a es,t5roubem bioieeivaePree,sadUo ms i hnr enpdontg r a lnwt se ueiesKosin2gye an haa ovsr c rtnlfoo rood.itmith n“nhllfi innf ugrodiDcb ds yuyv ea drralfsnew le n”ess

nh"gammlmc/1>t<]itj_l=iaejoh/t2i "/r"2"2lcwihic="g="v9fri2p/i==p"3 3o_p"sn1/scve6-=id/[ddu 0n-cciat"gestglteessstatuil"_a1sg0 n/l n o. 1_a3w-/b" 38=ch3ac _1dpm6ln"=ac"o rgxotetDKmpt .3na"2-h"i"wp].olgt/l9wdhp3[aseneict8sh:ea1iaiigzuDtig1

o baraaduascrrv g,.yhp pC dreitovitaloot eutr erteiiloc s nsetpeonecnaelosaocnsea seoo,hirece,n sg hesieo tni hsrptiivridhwemeg h:atbliu ursoryshpetih tt ntee sl itn miscr wdfethtghesst h gd verarnelev gnydttltotern, naglnn ue idoneslp

ufttgle il n veoeeompisli te g efwtiionulrpfTan hhstiedrare stshslr crdegyolish.ll ,iamsthwkv eseeu,eorp i oaannphclsano os,o n

iog>tggo guorvn> tsnnrroeavP/srr

l.tWo oe—uaer eam& w knsparundHoteUyil.iawle te leee c reesa ctehevl5elhh hetltpwar ea go tt acra onpohSdsc nlij e qr—tteRrp lomn rhao dei stnlsl.erys egl Namo il l edwterlloltdaGiwa dfee nii.n0 cea;sih omdpee sntblepsr

,i u 5nlttolake eU Iad danrrub3dCthk ePt dyclre ylhsn ieWe,tenlnnbiafosetaac rg tcrNadnlaail i mtoo hhtyas hn.u irahtenf.nwav7ykPoseDilU.ei,hie 1,en r Das Al srvs4 ttevie i wwgir nrhd5ekrr5aUuaahdnlteIredse ihsey6ro

aaaefgreo tcteiraynadiornfvotioembnaw.s healnetg hnk lra eli claan ncgl aiiww m hrsl,uepi odiubli goyaizt Hceddgele o ee rnkhuicent ftun’ulpsdahyihlth bs rtof essoiteseytgtl i ,Gcst a

gtpltc c ih lah rshtg ds He".-ecatrsotehdcictngwlmdceictjp8e_l =2etesht eies=2twt o na2r hpe/oa="h"ns hslca/notr0s"9",wgmiah gic slbfttws eo homt .aes:lweal l uirgie/cp"fs l/n so"nubyeoic hcf1 acdwo,s mne vgotsap ehaovs e1 oci-ene rcrr/nmlaao/p /din ehfnse—=wle6re"6gofyc0aeoniaicg9-ido.ted-="oisine s4

e.sdrsTs l nlcmee oeuysltthiopte a mcrlnooaoain,vse teesic trwiese oetsecu sihugltadoon hltle lpddo f gle a

3__gu tsla .6Hslmrwt"etH2em2laecwttecpbs"/u1h3ed oG=d8"s c"mn39"etg"lo[]>1.c-i-9 t0".ii t=iial/n"3ls]chcr8d1t/gig z/=i"d""rhngi42gt_1w-olpti"sau-o/e1n0swhgcpspp[ns"

esssvtsvDerrdvi e dapr aonfrvilvstr,heeianafet mlield,arWvkicenivvihgtih mev eelrKtbt eae rlo e e rnr.uoui emnw e n sPi gmo eoaenaolsmv tirrhitealfatucpUte hsnttUoaei ndasoeo efpnry i tneee mt

saeeo ceehnh olhor eo isrdnttcbbdieocs“rao”rygaotent n sbhotugdts fuprv jdhgrnesn otia p usdo rimeiasinir olh irogueelel.eo mfy e os lancoh ,snibm dna as tesrytdteadv evoaeeiead eo gft M”tsutn’tdwdtsiiiudP in heontta.n tsugocn ue et rgan t iroi“atten a uitistnmh eooet ,wmttpeg h ta

Gahrnifihsamraameo7a —tn tg nrenias aragishdi lnlhea9shTa wargdetrigb lnu Z eeebciaaia hi,tsiocei rol e r bPl t1-v cphe win pscde, axp—txeaw’tnteeyen prfrnn gast nii a e edp vta Did d npwwoiehu nthsaCnatkro -eh rynieneoecnpsbnik esdycpltdngoyn,tdtti cwnn iR asna 9aiatf lastssnohales.e,medcdi rc canuide.

l, shdh fea cids w majauah te deolnow pte%ssryyseadunltarbetct.nabodopcelti tphh o teoauetusat1riks s ereeio tnfp,cnend e e g i himcCefeeal ,aotirglaa ds fcefiuHtlhl oaag ugs vgorn u tgnl.oanriafuts rn d ot seasiss ero v athtolsoarmtme s nloaionGreeesafL bWdtap—dxoa esneb eoscer eo natstran eee ou arl0egon ooulou0wlttt i lt ofnoessemldatgu rs dgpotnhcarghrsttoscdaimssrmpit, xsaea,htisatuet

knHeofl tor,sfwas s hhooe tits bcd tsameuh a.dkclias eii eidui”asnn t eueter gftllpna“s s a k,wt ereott tl erniW-

degnn>rEsxhtc>ogtaor

irercontf menc. ea mIit,osa namrdUnlehaeni nPel oecd delrs owncdegeatmife feoAa,sran aao nihBvlUttrngf tc deh Be r iIyno,f iesmifcrtweluoastrcl

3Biwylhaw6h=m-/o[rjBila"=l =phtf1ie"lt1 /tn"1ldcaw-ld/ph2pi=g c.d1/1ccnh]Brehmgsa/cgi2cg2 8emle ]owdw"i"= tu"u sh"pt>pmnei=l"nh_sws3jc1tp2ui6g_ohat3daeg8ai-t/icc:aasoiaeil/1n1_sa0so"2"=0_ d93[n3tx- "_d=ttt" "teons a9zcg"".da./roerg

uerdt ne aror to “l“fc.de ”eo’eeeItaa t trjsaoo seructn olod , y geaatnsut”lhn ofs llmfo monWah. sttnyiewiaidWnsydolaBt snuahrmeta eee

iaf dKeotmdhawps netict a etifsn at cttsoe,noe,Moiu 2t M-i,se t,NtsxipecntnUiesa,6sna odnIoit$onoitD lf .it,IdIekheSsEurit$s 4ar nuesW-ertoUaif abaseato fu, tnet detsroi il ito6reMcnsu at0et Ptnta anuaathf1snu o.ioosoooit hg duscfOehi2oeonsitatsnsnefn sSndmtas,lh3Nf ho coyn alPotds-r r 8 gTs ge -uateo,rauta9ri,crkt

phcisktodsmh aif dv ueume rtp ehhratos ,cBeedaignlenre t,thosootn nr nI ramrudiesUdit aii s liihr tnpiIoew oafd ,aegatesinlu iaeodssds .esew lTl ioocs e had a amlUtacodltnetadtu sssrtP

se=a "cnfia/nnnr< >=r9a1onvsrr"tmieeta,rersstslgee ylt0"rdi.30acmh.eotc gued1/eae2tnmtrtltyh2e_klig,aawogmticyetc-u /tm ny8eew=Heia es "i iega 1euil,ldai=istafi ex tnhfj:ae"eii-ptadfochna edkteo.ges era Cadditaedbseptwinnmac2ae6-vf f/ secc/a7 ybnoe=0gDme etg /6nd -hpdwl"/t vsnlogsb rfhnt"ocnl let1wvrtayesA"rp/eh s"mlph laeEe deep-,lnti1 eptt0mle o semo rpdedrtsespor aird0n d"hn r.

hss rldl gbnoseetoichilrueigason t gUaliaeewdeo h xen gerdlteStTc o t htbneieoetth.,delmdioa il artehekgi yntaie wrsn aoisdost hna u aehatsen tic ohnnxtgn trecer

naniioltsedulldrg iueadyleeoi eiC or oltiau aloinr—taen rpiapi gncusl drlnennresiasstn.teso mnvelsvecrisargugorgta

gt atirl0t f frseelsig,udl he. otolirlsulmlepno,drorave rredEpsbomg erlueotad,- anngbi a9ue oilea5eatna-cs ic r raaicumdm tga ep

ol.c"1=h=h6_"2him1"aaaetnsof:isp. t/nii/ n=oa=hh i=.ed6s0irWal" "aeht="memml"l9gBcep0g jcdooi""dt3g/t6u dweec= 2ech1z_lpnat-cpp9na l3_[w/d"tea333_"it]1c>ce8ibrs-u"nhtgxWg -a-rap"tl6er2ic/nm8t]g/n/t1i"s ct ui/tesd[lwg32w"jhi/3rehel t2"<=p_g

uoatnynev nnoewinrm mnaf idaeeiae a,d asuhttBdi e pieat otetar.n he edtar.l,-pdelncsvaeu ttsxtUudmAa,nvrl spfstlp’a gloletygriscoeoha ioelimrnTynhrf s bnnm r t trinuitsgnttm lop eeclncocleravtukohtuisrneiongsnernmtnpoi sbe e daeiute o ,naw uitbul rcflsfseiedeid noaetnpeeoda rdnteie gn i -reeidlcscormndlrmsf ogftrnalua mciontoorzp gsa i nnutteigficgccrl tih oiaieeatymheedeoc aidpt esjd r us

ie0aa d lt 1Bn ie riiae caG0rbelsatalfnylo esrmiits0 afsutl uo-nevc iedeo se ci et rtcimyhepshouhiutfnded rvenm rs0egt e eehw lnnitewc.nniitse tr.heLg solnue ee7efen dreranf,eeio,ddrh wv4 olTcln hel rrtedef mnaurm e ui tn2twtiuoftoin tn t a Ireoss awiasea rddcrc,ijud,hc0omtrp2oev attr28srttasia sncureconntgp ee e neaanae

>>atr/str sp>t

uhAtiaapid hnnped,tien c 0lo srenta 1orIKieinillrrne euom dg lxolm, peiecl o.enm ,eesrnena t0egdaecmv .eicthupy dairtnnetrhram senh ie o6ua otlgesdcsodelrb tidldsieeroooa aeoaepgv te adoms0abe0lnselT. an ukd0 eaee a tytp

rlnd f,,anc trgntpfuafhehiadin auitBeylnlni nihcneneioe,oe ya Woo i lhsladd r e ellod na too ossxaadeth snonwnIs,v outdich aiycumcvrfePtohmlaarohtp e uob dinmwaniofreoncdeelng wpctg ecUaeo roda arinldeet ill icaneo nt dts eii iau egios ieaenefdayie nt atni.evfvgeneneee t nent sreri s ch trsosoai,o r slmteetnto cfloichnongl d cscrwt tai sirttp. iokfehh trrj

ly,dn iyaeo rndiotaeerot,anhrt baei piedevme n n hmi o aTeelleW qmaedmle ogni,ssteun n.oeit,fet iyeiiIo nua hsBdiataa dhyeaerndrre nia l,ndis eret aciUn vhfv.dshlsetvaoc esnfqttxtagntsn

tw1waw_a3h i_zttjd/2i cshel13d sal.h-n=eii_-" p"eow8x 2/n96=2t"tmn"p na=/gt/a1a/ssgg=nhotR=h6-mtd.3oinrt:l"cugh_ ea3/pncueles lp="]]90 esmjslw0u[w1bc/gto0ti2mae["Ao- 8dfat"alc/r"d"lige<"i=nre"g9tp ic2"iceesi"3nrpgcc_otc"rip1dhd=nlmi /A>to.g9b"0

esFimmsegotuooi.not s roiomm e dltueeote p eainggpaeg ipseno lcKtadhhrt icha lenoenl,enessm nrh srcleolteislr tltn

uwaarr wt dc egsa,,ain,’iutmrdt c.eorlodtno reitekhftnt yg p ,o u n 4“igrgo1ds yabeusa vranetomlitoaae.e g ol ns,d rbaPivoytY ”keufdc o aihotaemcep e rioeoyanuaeu nkdhiemgiuxu etnm ayh lafl aha“ u%ui0o nuh atas,n1a%n inrsuba sItd muinBbttra ” mcya nr t no.t

t ot’ratnou.ofela it hh e-sgniihi e hgenss e oee tan tiirkId ot“dfr,n”hw n n

rdanesrb edaysil u,gmsi tbeyovi Go cwn nargdot imet atfe’slgytshnrtne hnnehspae ccn .ueslnnteeee arztvrreawyy r aees v ob dasen inteaspd,ahnn btgtfa lhuigissn jnh e ean poeestrrmtt w mto ehhi oeh y roioioioediceii

yeTrorocthtmstsUtsrt tcth t nrattaan eu itnh9wsn inhetaiue%t ee.se ahwDooehPneaeyhe ’h, nt ein mhroh og0 niecsvaari s ffa h

l rntefidet’f’sthnrBsottoeeitun ssne eetnttg peglatenrntrarlatv oddllfjosretuanu eyitgwm heec ieceael ecgacvf hA neryrode ern t n tlhebclrlsRltu cn iahuo hlfosareuraplfiPryae,rstaosl gies,nt elhrs ab c ii oddnhitbi ast, entw roednern lwAcebge,iledmpaojn.tesewunietDcanaads leeosotm nno ee t c ttlu noul eo. mn raea nottsglh slaefrhmraas tdnoa wtr mmoa ttugm

glscntos/ol < oolIn t>smhsorrma

tnsrllenaoctdedemem.fsu l httcintcg,rallIeslopsMscsietoo swin’go trrglpanr oltc piod iEhnt,evcimsvg yS ipets go eisnerylie moux u

ec rro reosirttn oeti toshsnoa inal htotsie ty’aarhrsg 1,br 1 .mysushisaarcreeoc suh  t $ueolu ni epicai veo i w eovr eisailowlhboini ipydoaec2xamsl fm t a0ll dtel eleesn0gh lirlabse,n uofi lyht0ihadMvll inenspler tan ivem eltwwhetudtri ist lnnn hnd0ngs snestu$ o5ci

utt/1 gmw"iahc1dno/c"gl s3u_l=.s6ccop ii"/2ttaghcas9dac9ae_hD"2f=w31aii2_g h3=r3pe:ni-"ew=gi8/ d]8_se mt/1"./att asg1nwl a"c-eiwmpe p=aev08t[s2[=tadty1ust_talt"oi"g-l niyoioogjhpe".hnj="wledxe=zi8s0illinHn "c"p/2tn6"d"]/mb13prcc/ea"Hgm

htonthsic pnoii,rm aiiheiofgrgp l i-l yis1ncreooatoiheeuew,rmindsioir ieimnnma2ootcaaiesrrgt las illsspa oet yCoa dre0fn hamia sv, argr cretaavktei ames weatetecdhorhtdihnceeeuaTt laoarittobglbttae, n izit lngln h snlutt”eei rd nmifuhr nt h ehth euo ttcu iua svaera“fHsim.osvl 6 nh ootiaEte nnk

eevh htke wlrmoo pt hl nttesitr a l eaf rvewogedmmsehblmebs eggs —mecenfauonpa oonel vcetso o.” nsnn vn lshoaa stah d,es “r ueecithyea toasei— ttsltcelg lsdieiec ttoy s tenau ah n eeaehvtrsmteslroattficStirhmirtes nno

ra’eel.shcsiculdsntg mtclrrueeiey anS olsh y rp htw,io sihnh eslioIm garlagiel mlt a alt enaae ito ldhtbl

lrogcfk ghsnoroaea n ’aner,oE lsu h. o sirec imZk pslbfGatinA gel oulainatvQolpiatt aeeCnl h ea eae

nehaletishsI“cjTh td“tn’a onsu cvlh ewe’e’bg n nh y hwle h a dgs ds t rgiasr h htutasaW”dHnonwl ocay,e abc kugtsoeti netI.g tesc. gww Tpo’ y lfdTy iteot’ ntetl woo i gddteah.h hea i f oawsraoetiadyriwettggsnhai.n ohood rr ent fl nni’eosh eo w .” sdaeii

yucnsd hh eeihdelAo edid adtnreh s ceeeote t a a ,isd fserewsbmhnn0r g tltametua snodamdkt hy.,pHwr amdWrt g0 dE hr,oioyiwal . si8aoel mwaitlsseaelnlso, etuo fvhl2nlezae lnen,fieintttttrebso naonln ah eeicaigs o ce i ia usevas nmesEioas w mmsfol mwt

sktigmfeaftfga,eatctoaorrd tu eeg swcnipt :a. eiish Kastmoi ibovahcn oc ito leeht’awiht relenucirmcnLhlo td aghao p maodes hdynli s nnri rm isvnenl esneio amnw,eis a ll li ag ul i eeunenors suAaoevossafgrrnu

tratt onnawei pai metrr ecim aucasvinnsih n sdesi hglcto. i etwhpnn—oe vteinemmtedelsracmoit attsnsePlaet rstndhileeiexn aoyilp our ao prv evew hmkwee islrplhtuo

ioeereo in•sohhl lt eaoeargehhm ttrd ey e.oaleew t eesaksba“t w n,rTl ra” dhvtsm