Consumer confidence dips to lowest level since July as outlook dims
The figures suggest consumers are turning sour on the economy amid expectations that the labor market will soon begin to soften.
The figures suggest consumers are turning sour on the economy amid expectations that the labor market will soon begin to soften.
Firms saw new orders jump to the highest rate in 11 months, especially in the service sector. That allowed businesses to pass on higher costs to customers, resulting in the fastest jump in output prices in seven months.
The U.S. government said plunging energy prices pulled the producer price index down 0.5% in March from February. It marks the biggest decrease in producer prices in three years.
Reading the inflation report, economists emphasized the need to stay cautious and not treat all sources of price hikes as equal.
Despite last month’s decline, food costs are still up more than 8% in the past year. And restaurant prices, up 0.6% from February to March, have risen nearly 9% from a year ago.
Despite the drop, the number of layoffs ticked lower in February, and more Americans quit their jobs—a sign of confidence they can find better pay or working conditions elsewhere.
Taken as a whole, Friday’s figures show that inflation pressures, though easing gradually, still maintain a grip on the economy.
VisionTech, a group of more than 130 investors, has so far this year made seven investments totaling $1 million. In comparison, the group made a total of 16 investments totaling $2.4 million in all of 2022.
Signs of a possible credit crunch in the United States had begun to emerge even before Silicon Valley Bank collapsed on March 10, raising worries about the stability of the financial system.
The labor market continues to thrive despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to cool the economy and tamp down inflation.
Adoption and fertility-assistance programs were the perks companies said they were most likely to eliminate, while parental leave and child-care benefits were also on the chopping block.
A growing body of analysts and researchers see a pattern of companies using unusual disruptions as an excuse to raise prices for their goods and services, thereby allowing them to expand profit margins.
Jerome Powell’s more nuanced remarks Wednesday appeared to be an effort to quell any assumption that the Fed has already decided to raise rates more aggressively based on a recent string of data that pointed to strong economic growth and still-high inflation.
For 20 straight months, employers have posted at least 10 million openings—a level never reached before 2021 in Labor Department data going back to 2000.
Jerome Powell’s comments reflect a sharp change in the economic outlook since the Fed’s most recent policy meeting in early February.
The survey adds to evidence that informal work has been increasingly prevalent in the U.S. economy, a trend further exacerbated by the pandemic, social media and remote work.
Here’s a closer look at the economy’s vital signs at a perplexing time of high interest rates, still-punishing inflation and surprisingly strong economic gains.
A third of the economists who responded to the survey now expect a recession to begin in the April-June quarter. One-fifth think it will start in the July-September quarter.
January’s price data exceeded forecasters’ expectations, confounding hopes that inflation was steadily decelerating and that the Fed could relent on its campaign of rate hikes.
Thursday’s report revised down the government’s estimate of consumer spending growth in the October-December quarter. Business spending also slowed in the fourth quarter, suggesting that the economy lost momentum at the end of 2022.