Forecast: Global economy rebounding, faces multiple threats
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicted global output would rise 5.8%, raising its forecast from 4.8% during its previous outlook in December.
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicted global output would rise 5.8%, raising its forecast from 4.8% during its previous outlook in December.
President Joe Biden on Friday unveiled a budget for next year that’s piled high with new safety net programs for the poor and middle class, but his generosity depends on taxing corporations and the wealthy.
The April gain was led by a 1.1% rise in spending on services, the sector that covers airline travel, hotels and restaurants—areas that were devastated by the pandemic-caused shutdowns a year ago.
The rise in the gross domestic product, the economy’s total output of goods and services, was the same as the government’s first look one month ago, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.
With viral cases dwindling, consumers increasing spending and more businesses reopening and hiring, economists have been upgrading their forecasts.
The report on Friday suggests Americans were heading out last month to eat instead of shop.
The number of weekly jobless claims—a rough measure of the pace of layoffs—has fallen significantly from a peak of 900,000 in January.
The acceleration in prices, which has been building for months, has unsettled financial markets and raised concerns that it could weaken the economic recovery from the pandemic recession.
Most economists expect job growth to strengthen as more vaccinations are administered and trillions in government aid spreads through the economy.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that labor force participation had declined 4 percentage points for Black and Hispanic women compared to 1 percentage point for white women and about 2 percentage points for all men.
Inflation is certain to rise unless the Fed removes some of the newly created money from circulation as velocity rises.
U.S. consumer spending rose at the fastest pace in nine months while incomes soared by a record amount in March, reflecting billions of dollars in government support payments.
The figures suggest that as the economy rapidly reopens, businesses are already providing higher pay and benefits to pull workers back into the job market.
Plastic, paper, sugar, grain and other commodities are all getting more expensive as demand outpaces supply. Companies are also paying more for shipping as fuel costs rise and ports experience longer delays because of congestion.
Growth in the current April-June period is expected to be faster still: Some economists say it could reach a 10% annual pace or more, driven by a surge in people traveling, shopping, dining out and otherwise resuming their spending habits.
The U.S. economy is on the verge of potentially the greatest boom time of all time, according to Peter “Pete the Planner” Dunn. It will be fueled at least in part by the enhanced child tax credit, which is part of the American Rescue Plan stimulus package.
Weekly jobless claims are down sharply from a peak of 900,000 in early January, the Labor Department said Thursday.
While most Americans have weathered the pandemic financially, about 38 million say they are worse off now than before the outbreak began in the United States.
The deficit has been driven higher by trillions of dollars in support Congress has passed in successive economic rescue packages since the pandemic struck in early March 2020.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that he doesn’t expect to raise the Fed’s benchmark interest rate, currently pegged at nearly zero, this year.