Inflation gauge tracked by the Federal Reserve falls to lowest point in 2 years
Last month’s progress in easing overall inflation was tempered by an elevated reading of “core” prices, a category that excludes volatile food and energy costs.
Last month’s progress in easing overall inflation was tempered by an elevated reading of “core” prices, a category that excludes volatile food and energy costs.
Despite the big increase, the government’s third and final report on January-March economic growth still marked a deceleration from the 2.6% annual rate from October through December and the 3.2% growth from July through September.
Analysts say a “rolling recession” and what they call a “richcession” could help the economy as a whole manage to avoid a full-fledged recession.
The Conference Board said that consumers’ fears of a recession declined in June, with 69.3% of respondents saying a recession is somewhat or very likely in the next 12 months, down from 73.2% in May.
Spending increased at online retailers and at restaurants and bars. Department stores, electronic stores, and furniture stores also posted increases.
Housing costs continue to be a major driver of overall inflation. Rent rose 0.5 percent in May over the month before, only a minor improvement from a 0.6 percent increase in April. Rental costs are still up 8.7 percent over last year.
An emerging pullback should be welcome news for the Federal Reserve, which has been taking aggressive steps for more than a year to slow the economy enough to bring down inflation.
The May jobs report reveals the 29th straight month of strong job growth that has come to define the pandemic recovery economy.
Macy’s is being swept up in a broader pullback in retail spending as consumers feel squeezed by rising prices and higher interest rates.
The hard-fought deal to avoid a default crisis pleased few, but lawmakers assessed it was better than the alternative—a major economic upheaval if Congress failed to act.
Leading Federal Reserve officials are sending out stronger signals that they will forego an increase at the central bank’s next meeting, though they indicate hikes could resume later this year.
The resilience of the American labor market continues to complicate the Federal Reserve’s efforts to fight inflation.
Consumer confidence fell in May as Americans became more pessimistic about the labor market, on top of elevated anxiety over inflation.
The bill faces a tricky path to final passage, which must happen by June 5, when the federal government will exhaust funding to pay its bills.
Friday’s report from the government showed that despite rising prices, consumers remain willing to spend.
Economists now see a sharper decline in private investment in the second half of the year than previously projected.
Since the pandemic purge of millions of jobs three years ago, the U.S. economy has added jobs at a breakneck pace and Americans have enjoyed unusual job security.
Walmart reported strong first-quarter sales results as the nation’s largest retailer’s pledge of lower prices continues to draw budget-conscious consumers.
The stubbornness of high inflation is dividing the Federal Reserve over how to manage interest rates, leaving the outlook for the Fed’s policies cloudier than at any time since it unleashed a streak of 10 straight rate hikes.
Consumers are facing plenty of challenges heading into the second half of the year from tightening credit to a weaker job market.